Bajaj Hindustan sugar 12 year long breakout with cup and handle pattern

   BAJAJ HUNDUSTAN SUGAR


WEEKLY TIME FRAME CHART

Bajaj Hindustan sugar 12 year long breakout with cup and handle pattern
by priytam kumar

About

Incorporated in 1931 as "The Hindustan Sugar Mills Limited," Bajaj Hindustan Sugar Limited (BHSL) was then known. Power generating, sugar, alcohol, and ethanol manufacturing are the company's activities. 

 Technical Analysis


Ø  Market Cap                   ₹ 5,427 Cr.

Ø  Current Price                ₹ 42.5

Ø  52 week High / Low     ₹ 44.0 / 15.4

Ø  Stock P/E

Ø  Book Value                     ₹ 35.0

Ø  Dividend Yield                  0.00 %

Ø  ROCE                                   0 .80 %

Ø  ROE-                                   -1.90 %

Ø  Face Value                       ₹ 1.00

Ø  Industry PE                        16.4

Ø  Promoter holding             25.0 %

Ø  Pledged percentage          100 %

Ø  Debt to equity                    0.86

Ø  Profit Prev 12M            ₹ -46.6 Cr.

Ø  EPS                                  ₹ -0.68

Ø  Price to book value          1.21

Ø  EVEBITDA                          31.6

Ø  Price to Earning

Ø  No. Eq. Shares                   128 Cr.

Ø  Change in Prom Hold      0.00 %

Key- Point

Company Overview 

The total sugarcane crushing capacity of BHSL's 14 sugar mills is 136,000 tonnes crushed per day (TCD). BHSL is a Leading producer of ethanol in addition to sugar. It owns 14 co-generation facilities with a combined power generation capacity of 449 MW and six distilleries with a capacity to generate 800 kiloliters of industrial alcohol per day (KLPD).

Business segment and revenue

Sugar (76%)

About 10% of the sugar recovered in FY23 came from the company crushing about 14 million tons of sugarcane. The company also diverted 10.20 million tons of sugarcane to make B-heavy molasses, which resulted in a lower percentage of sugar recovery.

Power (12%)
The company generated 717 MUs of power and exported 171 MUs of power. The 14 plants owned by the firm were sold to the Uttar Pradesh state grid as surplus after captive usage.

Pledge
The promoters hold 25% of the shareholding, and 100% of their shares are pledged.

Contingent Liabilities
The Company regularly satisfies its commitments by paying the Optionally Convertible Debentures (OCDs) coupon rate. They perceive the Yield to Maturity (YTM) as a contingent liability and haven't recorded it in their books, yet it is an accruing premium for redemption. The contingent obligation of Rs 2,263 crore is due as redemption premium on OCDs due to accumulated YTM.

Liquidity

OCD redemption and YTM payment will start in FY25 and be repaid in 13 equal annual installments, with the first installment due in March 2025. As of FY24, BHSL's gross cash accruals are insufficient to cover both the YTM payment and the OCD yearly installment. Nonetheless, the OCD debenture trustee deed has a clause allowing for the conversion of OCDs into equity shares of BHSL.

PROS

Ø   FII increases holding from Sept-2023 to March 2024 1.64% t0 2.57%

Ø  Reserve Capital increases and Borrowing Capital decreases continue

Ø  EPS continue increases

Ø  Net profits on yearly increases

CONS

  • Company has low interest coverage ratio.
  • The company has delivered a poor sales growth of -2.15% over past five years.
  • Promoter holding is low: 25.0%
  • Company has a low return on equity of -4.75% over last 3 years.
Analysis of cup and handle formation

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